*edited to correct conversion in title

  • Clbull@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I think climate change is happening far sooner than scientists could have predicted. We focus on increased global average temperatures but I think that we are going to have insanely hot summers sooner. We’re fucked.

    • Sarcastik@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      You don’t need to guess. It was less than 3 months ago where scientists (on nearly every news/publication outlet that wasn’t denying climate change) said we are going to blow by the 1.5C estimate we used as a threshold in our models.

      Climate change is already happening exponentially now.

    • andrei_chiffa@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      No, no - it’s just as scientists predicted. In the worst-case “no-mitigation” scenario and with attempts from them to explain that +2 global will likely be +10 in peak temperature increase over land (read US, Europe, Asia). As in, both mean and std will increase, but without ocean’s mitigation over land.

      Fucked is not the correct word - there is a +50 predicted before the end of decade in Strasbourg, where I am from. There is not a single building built there made to resist that kind of temperatures, nor a single tree or crop that could stand that for a day.

      And it’s a relatively “safe” area as far as long-term projections go…

      • Clbull@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Fucked is not the correct word - there is a +50 predicted before the end of decade in Strasbourg, where I am from. There is not a single building built there made to resist that kind of temperatures, nor a single tree or crop that could stand that for a day.

        And it’s a relatively “safe” area as far as long-term projections go…

        I would love to read the source on this, not because I think it’s bullshit but because that is pretty fucking alarming.

      • narp@feddit.de
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        1 year ago

        Maybe it’s more about already being able to see the results of climate change.

        Rivers drying out, ice sheets and glaciers melting, oceans heating up, desertification, water shortages, etc.

        And with everything it seems like we’re “nearly” at a breaking point. Cities running completely out of water, crops failing because of the heat or forests dying or burning, etc.

        At least it feels like we’re not that far away from a really bad time than anticipated.

    • theneverfox@pawb.social
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      1 year ago

      I think the problem is when you show them the projections people would say “you’re just being alarmist, clearly you have an agenda”

      So the messaging has been consistently toned down in the hopes people would listen.

      They’ve been warning about water scarcity for decades, I think most people accept it’s going to be a thing. Tell them this is going to happen in their country, this decade? Most won’t believe you.

      Doesn’t matter that it’s already at the breaking point, and that we have still growing populations that are already rationing water from sources that aren’t just down due to drought. There’s aquifers that would take centuries to fill back up to where they were decades ago

      Scientists told us “your grandchildren will be screwed”, then “think of the world you’re leaving your children”… Well this generation, they’re not saying “you’re screwed”, because people aren’t ready to hear that

      • AndrewZabar@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        People don’t want to have to worry or deal with reality so they simply choose to believe otherwise.

        Why do you think we still have rampant religion infecting the world.