It is true, and it is much worse than what mainstream lets on or the average psyche understands.

The IPCC is heavily incentivized (coerced) to let out conservative/watered-down data because of the capitalist funding and the panic/heavy depression that would result as a release of the information we actually know.

Unfortunately, it is already too late to save a large chunk of humanity and life in general on this planet. Unfortunately, there will be horrible things happening (already are) at a large scale that will probably not be solved by smart people somewhere.

This shouldn’t paralyze you, like we can’t give up. It’s not like an “over, or not over” thing, it’s still a spectrum and 4 degrees of warming is exponentially worse than 2.7 or whatever. But we need to be realistic and start developing harm reduction and not pretend we can stay below 1.5 or whatever garbage the MSM is still spewing.

Blaming fossil fuel companies will not work without addressing the de facto international command economy under Pax Americana and Bretton Woods institutions that lead the expansion of Capitalism and Neo-Liberalism under the pretense of ‘globalism’. The Capitalists will always find a way to produce pollution without fossil fuel as a method to externalize consequence of their actions to developing countries and Indigenous groups. For example, the inability of Capitalism to deal with negative externality allow the Pax Americana to dump toxic factory chemicals and landfill with highly toxic leachate into federal reserve concentration camps to massacre the North American First Nation people until the Indigenous people forfeit their property ownership rights and the reparation for the fake school Holocaust that became the Nazi Holocaust. The solution is to implement a Socialist system where the government serve the working class and marginalized groups in place of the current Pax Americana system that allow the rich 1% to free ride on the poor 99% to ‘produce’ the non-existent trickle down effect that justifies authoritarianism.

Similar to things I’ve read on https://arctic-news.blogspot.com

I’m of the opinion that the fog of war makes it impossible to really know how much time we have. We definitely have less than what the IPCC is saying and they are far too conservative to trust, but assuming the absolute worst case scenario by default isn’t convincing.

I’m certain things will get worse than expected, faster than expected. I’m uncertain about near term rapid climate change predictions, though.

I have been living away from home in an extremely cold part of the world for a few years now.

This is a location that should be -10c at minimum all winter long. Usual temp is -15-20c with lows in the -25’s, there are supposed to be large snowfalls that are feet deep that happen so constantly that the new snow compacts the old. You used to need ski pants and large thick overcoats. Winter tires on busses and cars, trains would need plows on them.

None of that has happened. We barely have had any -10c days in the past years. We didn’t hit it once this year. There was one 8cm snow that melted the same day. I’ve been wearing a light jacket, hoodie, or thin pants all winter. We saved hundreds of dollars on the heating system because we barely needed to turn it on. It was just constant rain. Rain rain rain rain rain, nonstop for two months. Rain that should have been snow.

First snow should have been in late October, early November. It was 25c in late November. First snow wasn’t till early January and it instantly melted.

Spring has already started. The birds are chirping in the morning and the temps are 10-15c. In February. The average temp in January was +15c above what the regular average is. None of the plants rested, they threw off their leaves in mid August months before they should have, and they’re waking up now, some already have buds.

There is a massive river near me that feeds countless tributaries and is responsible for feeding hundreds of millions of people worldwide with the farms it irrigates. It was gorged with the rain, but the snowfall in the mountains is supposed to feed it till May when the last high altitude snow melts.

There was no snow on the mountains this year. Experts are already fearing that the river will drop to an unusable level and trigger famine. It has been barely holding on, and that was with tens of millions spent artificially seeding snow in the mountains since it was at least cold enough up there. But it’s 5-10c on the mountains. They can’t even hold the artificial snow.

We’re fucked. We’re so royally fucked.

You’ve gotta be careful with stuff like this because it can be so scary as to petrify you. That isn’t helpful. Stress is supposed to elicit a reaction. Ultimately, the Earth is a big ship and takes a while to change, let alone steer. A horrific storm is on the horizon of our lifetimes, but we must carry on and do what we can. Fighting for socialism is the start, as capitalist countries will fail at emissions mitigation because it’s not profitable enough. It’s going to be an ugly start to the Anthropocene.

It’s mostly right. Idk if the predictions are true, but the situation is dire. Most people know this, they have just not mentally accepted it fully, and do not know what to do about it. Their legal solution is futile and not nearly sufficient for the reality. If you want a reasonable depiction of the reality and what it takes to save it I recommend Socialism or Extinction. If everyone understood the ideas presented in the book we’d have a better chance of actually doing something.

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Yes, IIRC 2030 is the deadline according to the rather conservative IPCC. It’s bad.

I live in a hot place and am pretty doomer about this.

I feel like we (Australia) are going to be torpedoing boats of refugees if food insecurity in SEA gets worse.

if we only have that time to save half of humanity, how much is already fucked no matter what?

I have a strong desire to get a PhD in environmental policy to try and get close to some form of person who can pass ideas to those who move the levers of power but have some idea that is pointless given how even the most mild assessments by people like the IPCC are ignored.

Issue is I feel like my STEM degree is equally useless because technology isn’t what’s holding us back even if I could get a job in a field that develops such technology. Unfortunately anything I see in renewables or power is out of reach with my experience and I’d spend just as much time making things worse in another industry racking up the requisite years of experience as I would getting said PhD

I logically understand a mass movement is our only solution but feel like I have to spend my 2000 hours or so a year working doing something related to climate or I’ll lose my mind. Anyone else thought through this at all and have insights?

It’s much worse than people realize it is.