President Biden’s reelection campaign announced Monday that it will aim to flip Florida, targeting the home of former President Trump.
Campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez said in a memo that investing in Florida is part of the Biden campaign’s pathway to 270 electoral votes. Trump won the Sunshine State in 2020 with more than 51 percent, compared to Biden’s 48 percent.
“Make no mistake: Florida is not an easy state to win, but it is a winnable one for President Biden, especially given Trump’s weak, cash-strapped campaign, and serious vulnerabilities within his coalition,” she said.
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The Biden campaign has also set its sights on flipping North Carolina in November. Trump won North Carolina by a tight margin in 2020, and Biden visited the state as part of his tour of every battleground state last month.
At this point, Florida and NC better be in play. I bet he’ll put some money into TX too. Georgia wasn’t a key state in the early stages of 2020 but it swung Biden’s way.
You can’t just “blue wall” yourself like Hillary and assume you have Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, you have to expand the possible opportunities for a winning map. In the later stages of the campaign they’ll make the hard choices on where money and time will most effectively spent. For now, open the aperture as wide as plausible.
He’s got a better chance of flipping Texas than Florida right now
Maybe, maybe not. DeSantis took 60% of the vote for Governor in 2022, but his approval has tanked since then and is now underwater. Democrats also flipped Florida House District 35 in a special election, which is rated an R+15 district (it votes 15 points more towards Republicans than the national average).
Combine that with empty coffers at the Republican party, and Trump taking over the party apparatus so it can fund his legal bills at the expense of all other races and even his own campaign. They’re severely off balance, and Democrats can pull a Jiu Jitsu move here by trying just a little in every single contest that’s even a bit contestable. Republicans won’t have a fundraising answer to that. Doesn’t mean Democrats will win every seat, but it could be quite the flood.
Shouldn’t we assume his approval tanked because he dared challenge the Trumpanzees’ cult leader?
I hope it is a flood though, that would be a welcome surprise.