Doubt this missiles will lead any significant damage, let alone even a scratch to the SMO. Russia’s Air Defences have reached impeccable qualities and the electronic warfare deployed by russia can scramble these missiles if they ever try hitting military targets, likely these missiles will be used to hit crimea, maybe some bridges, maybe a dam, or some obscure airfield far north of russia. These missiles will be gone just like the rest of the wunderwaffes
I mean if drones can hit as far as Moscow without detection
What cfgaussian said, Ukraine can use very efficient means to hide their drones (such as using carboard or flying very low to avoid detection) missiles do not have this luxury, they have a very short time frame, hit hard and fast. And Anti-Missile weaponry has been more developed than Anti-Drone weapons, military targets in russia have also been very fortified, and while these missiles can reach as far as moscow. There’s prominent speculation just how realistic this is.
Pretty sure they said waaay back when these missiles were first proposed (around spring) that it would “allow AFU to strike Crimea”. As in, not just the shores. We’re talking terror attacks on all cities in the peninsula - Yalta, Simferopol, Kerch. Plus the already suffering areas - Belgorod, Donetsk. Might even try to strike Moscow or smaller cities - Niznhy Novgorod for example, has plenty of military related industries. And while the anti-missile and anti-air defenses are good, their coverage is not - as evidenced by missiles and shells slipping through and falling in Belgorod, Donetsk, Tver, etc
the shells used by the AFU cannot be destroyed using conventional means, western missiles are expensive, and few in quantity, and Anti-Missile Warfare is a lot more advanced than you think. Storm shadow missiles have been routinely destroyed despite their ‘stealth’ and ‘speed’. ATACMS on the other hand are not, so these missiles will be intercepted, even then russia would destroy the depots which house these missiles.
It’s also a myth that the reason these missiles were not delivered then was due to any perceived moral red lines(seriously a western politician having things like foward-thinking? Pah). No these missiles have to procured, developed, shipped and sent, all of this takes months especially in america, where military infrastructure is severely lacking. Another thing is these companies who make these missiles are very shy about their products, probably because they seriously underperform their own tasks.
