When I compare it to the shift to high level languages, I don’t mean it casually. I mean it as a direct analogy.
Business languages like COBOL were originally intended to be used directly by “non programmers”. We know how that turned out. Programmers did not go extinct. In fact, it led to a huge increase as more and more tasks were in economic scope for automation. The productivity increase of high level languages (which is huge!) is directly responsible for this.
I don’t think AI will make programmers disappear. But it will change the way the field is organized, the way the work is done, and the tasks that can be economically automated. And, here’s the thing, that goes for most knowledge economy jobs. Programming is just the most visible now.
Oh! Sure, I get where you’re coming from now, and agree. For example, precision writing for a large language model is going to be a prerequisite for software development jobs these days.
All I’m saying is that those jobs will continue to exist, contrary to the breathless declarations I’ve been seeing that my job is doomed.
When I compare it to the shift to high level languages, I don’t mean it casually. I mean it as a direct analogy.
Business languages like COBOL were originally intended to be used directly by “non programmers”. We know how that turned out. Programmers did not go extinct. In fact, it led to a huge increase as more and more tasks were in economic scope for automation. The productivity increase of high level languages (which is huge!) is directly responsible for this.
I don’t think AI will make programmers disappear. But it will change the way the field is organized, the way the work is done, and the tasks that can be economically automated. And, here’s the thing, that goes for most knowledge economy jobs. Programming is just the most visible now.
Oh! Sure, I get where you’re coming from now, and agree. For example, precision writing for a large language model is going to be a prerequisite for software development jobs these days.
All I’m saying is that those jobs will continue to exist, contrary to the breathless declarations I’ve been seeing that my job is doomed.